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Author Biography

Mary D. Zalesny is a behavioral scientist whose research interests include counterterrorism, insider threat, and the application of behavior theory to understanding and modeling behavior of individuals and groups across various contexts.

DOI

http://doi.org/10.5038/1944-0472.10.3.1612

Subject Area Keywords

Biological weapons, Chemical weapons, Nonstate actors, Political violence, Radicalization, Terrorism / counterterrorism, Violent extremism

Abstract

This paper describes a conceptual model to identify and interrelate indicators of intent of non-state actors to use chemical or biological weapons. The model expands on earlier efforts to understand intent to use weapons of mass destruction by building upon well-researched theories of intent and behavior and focusing on a sub-set of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) to account for the distinct challenges of employing different types of WMD in violent acts. The conceptual model is presented as a first, critical step in developing a computational model for assessing the potential for groups to use chemical or biological weapons.

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